Booth Econ Camp Class Note Part II
Expected Utility Theory Suppose the space of alternatives has a little more structure: $$ X = X_1 \times X_2 \times \cdots \times X_n. $$We define Lottery Space on this $X$: Let $\mathcal{L} = \Delta(X)$ = set of lotteries on $X$ (probability distributions). Expected Utility Representation Definition. A preference $\succeq$ on lottery space $\mathcal{L}$ admits an expected utility form if $\exists u:X\to\mathbb{R}$ such that $\forall L,L'\in\mathcal{L}$: $U(L) = \sum_{x\in X} p^L_x u(x)$, $L\succeq L' \iff U(L)\geq U(L')$. The von Neumann Morgenstein Theorem Theorem Consider the space of lotteries $\mathcal{L} = \Delta(X)$ over a finite set of outcomes $X$. For any preference relation $\succeq$ on $\mathcal{L}$, iff. it satisfies: ...
