Does supply side or demand side structural change drive growth?
Our macroeconomic class introduced and discussed this paper, in the middle of a series of discussion on growth studied under the framework of neoclassical growth model. Standard approaches to structural change (the shift from agriculture to manufacturing to services as economies develop) have relied on two main mechanisms: Supply-side stories: Differential productivity growth across sectors changes relative prices, causing reallocation Demand-side stories (Stone-Geary preferences): As income rises, people shift spending toward “luxury” sectors Both mechanism’s intuition feels right. But the demand-side’s Stone-Geary preferences have income effects that vanish as income grows. It becomes negligible for rich countries. This is empirically problematic—we observe strong income effects on sectoral composition even at high income levels. So, when the theory tells you one thing but the reality tells you another we need a better model to solve the problem: ...